Class 5A · 3-2 · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Waukee Northwest (3-2) is projected to finish 5-4 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in 99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 9 seed (range 1–16). Its most likely first playoff game: at #7 Sioux City East. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 19%; to win the Class 5A state title: 2%.
Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Waukee Northwest →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Ottumwa | Waukee Northwest | 99% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | vs Southeast Polk | Southeast Polk | 52% | Toss-up |
| Wk 8 | at Waukee | Waukee | 60% | Toss-up |
| Wk 9 | vs Norwalk | Waukee Northwest | 96% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| # | Team | Record | RPI now | Projected RPI | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cedar Falls | 4-1 | 0.5860 | 0.6011 | 99% |
| 8 | Iowa City Liberty | 3-2 | 0.5910 | 0.6005 | >99% |
| 9 | Bettendorf | 4-1 | 0.6040 | 0.5905 | >99% |
| 10 | Waukee Northwest | 3-2 | 0.5540 | 0.5832 | 99% |
| 11 | Dallas Center-Grimes | 3-2 | 0.5840 | 0.5772 | 99% |
| 12 | Valley | 2-3 | 0.5240 | 0.5540 | 88% |
| 13 | Indianola | 3-2 | 0.5270 | 0.5446 | 78% |
The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.