Cedar Falls Football Playoff Chances

Class 5A · 4-1 · Updated Sep 26, 2026

Make playoffs99%

Projected record8-1

Likeliest seed8

Host first game67%

Reach UNI-Dome10%

Win state<1%

Cedar Falls (4-1) is projected to finish 8-1 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in 99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 8 seed (range 2–16). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #9 Dallas Center-Grimes. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 10%; to win the Class 5A state title: <1%.

Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Cedar Falls →

Remaining schedule and picks

Week	Opponent	Our pick	Chance	Confidence
Wk 6	vs Bettendorf	Cedar Falls	66%	Lean
Wk 7	at Prairie	Cedar Falls	67%	Lean
Wk 8	vs Linn-Mar	Cedar Falls	79%	Strong
Wk 9	at Cedar Rapids Jefferson	Cedar Falls	>99%	Lock

Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.

Where it sits in the RPI

#	Team	Record	RPI now	Projected RPI	Playoffs
4	Southeast Polk	5-0	0.7220	0.6529	>99%
5	Sioux City East	4-1	0.6290	0.6108	>99%
6	Waukee	3-2	0.6160	0.6042	>99%
7	Cedar Falls	4-1	0.5860	0.6011	99%
8	Iowa City Liberty	3-2	0.5910	0.6005	>99%
9	Bettendorf	4-1	0.6040	0.5905	>99%
10	Waukee Northwest	3-2	0.5540	0.5832	99%

The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.

Cedar Falls Football Playoff Chances

Remaining schedule and picks

Where it sits in the RPI

Other Class 5A teams