Ottumwa Football Playoff Chances

Class 5A · 2-3 · Updated Sep 26, 2026

Make playoffs<1%

Projected record2-7

Likeliest seed–

Host first game0%

Reach UNI-Dome<1%

Win state<1%

Ottumwa (2-3) is projected to finish 2-7 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in <1% of 20,000 simulated seasons, currently outside the playoff field. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 5A state title: <1%.

Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Ottumwa →

Remaining schedule and picks

Week	Opponent	Our pick	Chance	Confidence
Wk 6	vs Waukee Northwest	Waukee Northwest	99%	Lock
Wk 7	at Norwalk	Norwalk	85%	Strong
Wk 8	vs Des Moines Roosevelt	Des Moines Roosevelt	52%	Toss-up
Wk 9	vs Iowa City High	Iowa City High	95%	Lock

Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.

Where it sits in the RPI

#	Team	Record	RPI now	Projected RPI	Playoffs
25	Linn-Mar	1-4	0.4090	0.4497	2%
26	Waterloo West	2-3	0.4600	0.4473	<1%
27	Dubuque Senior	2-3	0.4550	0.4422	<1%
28	Ottumwa	2-3	0.4440	0.4128	<1%
29	Des Moines Lincoln	3-2	0.4700	0.4124	<1%
30	Ames	1-4	0.3880	0.4001	0%
31	Cedar Rapids Jefferson	1-4	0.3580	0.3859	<1%

The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.

Ottumwa Football Playoff Chances

Remaining schedule and picks

Where it sits in the RPI

Other Class 5A teams