Prairie Football Playoff Chances

Class 5A · 3-2 · Updated Sep 26, 2026

Make playoffs70%

Projected record6-3

Likeliest seed14

Host first game4%

Reach UNI-Dome<1%

Win state<1%

Prairie (3-2) is projected to finish 6-3 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in 70% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 14 seed (range 5–16). Its most likely first playoff game: at #3 Southeast Polk. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 5A state title: <1%.

Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Prairie →

Remaining schedule and picks

Week	Opponent	Our pick	Chance	Confidence
Wk 6	at Dubuque Hempstead	Prairie	97%	Lock
Wk 7	vs Cedar Falls	Cedar Falls	67%	Lean
Wk 8	at Iowa City West	Prairie	52%	Toss-up
Wk 9	vs Dubuque Senior	Prairie	91%	Lock

Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.

Where it sits in the RPI

#	Team	Record	RPI now	Projected RPI	Playoffs
11	Dallas Center-Grimes	3-2	0.5840	0.5772	99%
12	Valley	2-3	0.5240	0.5540	88%
13	Indianola	3-2	0.5270	0.5446	78%
14	Prairie	3-2	0.5210	0.5401	70%
15	Urbandale	3-2	0.5040	0.5361	70%
16	Iowa City High	2-3	0.4990	0.5268	54%
17	Pleasant Valley	3-2	0.4950	0.5260	56%

The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.

Prairie Football Playoff Chances

Remaining schedule and picks

Where it sits in the RPI

Other Class 5A teams