Class 5A · 3-2 · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Iowa City Liberty (3-2) is projected to finish 7-2 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 6 seed (range 3–16). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #11 Dallas Center-Grimes. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 15%; to win the Class 5A state title: 1%.
Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Iowa City Liberty →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Davenport Central | Iowa City Liberty | 98% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | vs Pleasant Valley | Iowa City Liberty | 84% | Strong |
| Wk 8 | at Iowa City High | Iowa City Liberty | 63% | Lean |
| Wk 9 | at Muscatine | Iowa City Liberty | >99% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| # | Team | Record | RPI now | Projected RPI | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sioux City East | 4-1 | 0.6290 | 0.6108 | >99% |
| 6 | Waukee | 3-2 | 0.6160 | 0.6042 | >99% |
| 7 | Cedar Falls | 4-1 | 0.5860 | 0.6011 | 99% |
| 8 | Iowa City Liberty | 3-2 | 0.5910 | 0.6005 | >99% |
| 9 | Bettendorf | 4-1 | 0.6040 | 0.5905 | >99% |
| 10 | Waukee Northwest | 3-2 | 0.5540 | 0.5832 | 99% |
| 11 | Dallas Center-Grimes | 3-2 | 0.5840 | 0.5772 | 99% |
The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.