Class 5A · 5-0 · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Ankeny (5-0) is projected to finish 8-1 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 1 seed (range 1–9). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #16 Urbandale. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 71%; to win the Class 5A state title: 19%.
Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Ankeny →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Johnston | Johnston | 67% | Lean |
| Wk 7 | vs Ames | Ankeny | >99% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | at Valley | Ankeny | 74% | Lean |
| Wk 9 | vs Council Bluffs Lincoln | Ankeny | >99% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| # | Team | Record | RPI now | Projected RPI | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ankeny | 5-0 | 0.7460 | 0.6797 | >99% |
| 2 | Johnston | 4-1 | 0.6500 | 0.6742 | >99% |
| 3 | Dowling Catholic | 4-1 | 0.6800 | 0.6581 | >99% |
| 4 | Southeast Polk | 5-0 | 0.7220 | 0.6529 | >99% |
The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.