Class 5A · 3-2 · Updated Sep 27, 2026
Indianola (3-2) is projected to finish 6-3 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in 78% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 15 seed (range 5–16). Its most likely first playoff game: at #2 Ankeny. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 2%; to win the Class 5A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Indianola →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Des Moines Lincoln | Indianola | 94% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | vs Ankeny Centennial | Indianola | 71% | Lean |
| Wk 8 | vs Sioux City North | Indianola | 98% | Lock |
| Wk 9 | at Urbandale | Urbandale | 54% | Toss-up |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| # | Team | Record | RPI now | Projected RPI | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Waukee Northwest | 3-2 | 0.5540 | 0.5832 | 99% |
| 11 | Dallas Center-Grimes | 3-2 | 0.5840 | 0.5772 | 99% |
| 12 | Valley | 2-3 | 0.5240 | 0.5540 | 88% |
| 13 | Indianola | 3-2 | 0.5270 | 0.5446 | 78% |
| 14 | Prairie | 3-2 | 0.5210 | 0.5401 | 70% |
| 15 | Urbandale | 3-2 | 0.5040 | 0.5361 | 70% |
| 16 | Iowa City High | 2-3 | 0.4990 | 0.5268 | 54% |
The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.