Valley Football Playoff Chances

Class 5A · 2-3 · Updated Sep 27, 2026

Make playoffs88%

Projected record5-4

Likeliest seed12

Host first game9%

Reach UNI-Dome7%

Win state<1%

Valley (2-3) is projected to finish 5-4 and makes the Class 5A playoffs in 88% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely as the 12 seed (range 4–16). Its most likely first playoff game: at #4 Dowling Catholic. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 7%; to win the Class 5A state title: <1%.

Open the interactive Class 5A playoff machine for Valley →

Remaining schedule and picks

Week	Opponent	Our pick	Chance	Confidence
Wk 6	at Ankeny Centennial	Valley	75%	Strong
Wk 7	vs Sioux City North	Valley	>99%	Lock
Wk 8	vs Ankeny	Ankeny	74%	Lean
Wk 9	at Des Moines Lincoln	Valley	98%	Lock

Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.

Where it sits in the RPI

#	Team	Record	RPI now	Projected RPI	Playoffs
9	Bettendorf	4-1	0.6040	0.5905	>99%
10	Waukee Northwest	3-2	0.5540	0.5832	99%
11	Dallas Center-Grimes	3-2	0.5840	0.5772	99%
12	Valley	2-3	0.5240	0.5540	88%
13	Indianola	3-2	0.5270	0.5446	78%
14	Prairie	3-2	0.5210	0.5401	70%
15	Urbandale	3-2	0.5040	0.5361	70%

The top 16 in final RPI make the Class 5A playoffs.

Valley Football Playoff Chances

Remaining schedule and picks

Where it sits in the RPI

Other Class 5A teams