Pella Football Playoff Chances
Class 4A, District 4 · 3-2 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 27, 2026
Make playoffs93%
Projected record7-2
Win district53%
Host first game53%
Reach UNI-Dome16%
Win state2%
Pella (3-2) is projected to finish 7-2 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in 93% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 1st in District 4 (wins it 53%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #9 Clear Creek Amana. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 16%; to win the Class 4A state title: 2%.
Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for Pella →Remaining schedule and picks
| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Newton | Pella | 81% | Strong |
| Wk 7 | vs Oskaloosa | Pella | 100% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | at Clear Creek Amana | Pella | 56% | Toss-up |
| Wk 9 | vs Grinnell | Pella | 93% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
District 4 standings outlook
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pella | 3-2 | 1-0 | 53% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 93% |
| Clear Creek Amana | 4-1 | 1-0 | 40% | 46% | 14% | <1% | 99% |
| Newton | 2-3 | 1-0 | 7% | 15% | 42% | 35% | 23% |
| Grinnell | 3-2 | 0-1 | <1% | 2% | 36% | 56% | 34% |
| Marion | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% |
| Oskaloosa | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | <1% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.
Other Class 4A teams
- ADM
- Ballard
- Bondurant-Farrar
- Boone
- Burlington
- Carlisle
- Cedar Rapids Washington
- Clear Creek Amana
- Clinton
- Council Bluffs Jefferson
- Davenport North
- Davenport West
- Decorah
- Denison-Schleswig
- Des Moines North
- Fort Dodge
- Gilbert
- Glenwood
- Grinnell
- Le Mars
- Lewis Central
- Marion
- Mason City
- Newton
- North Polk
- North Scott
- Oskaloosa
- Sergeant Bluff-Luton
- Sioux City West
- Spencer
- Storm Lake
- Waterloo East
- Waverly-Shell Rock
- Western Dubuque
- Xavier