Ballard Football Playoff Chances
Class 4A, District 5 · 3-2 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Make playoffs70%
Projected record6-3
Win district39%
Host first game39%
Reach UNI-Dome2%
Win state<1%
Ballard (3-2) is projected to finish 6-3 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in 70% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 1st in District 5 (wins it 39%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #8 Fort Dodge. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 2%; to win the Class 4A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for Ballard →Remaining schedule and picks
| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Des Moines North | Ballard | 100% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | at Gilbert | Ballard | 52% | Toss-up |
| Wk 8 | vs Bondurant-Farrar | Ballard | 90% | Lock |
| Wk 9 | at Carlisle | Carlisle | 63% | Lean |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
District 5 standings outlook
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Polk | 3-2 | 0-1 | 31% | 37% | 22% | 10% | 98% |
| Ballard | 3-2 | 1-0 | 39% | 20% | 18% | 20% | 70% |
| Carlisle | 5-0 | 1-0 | 22% | 30% | 28% | 15% | 97% |
| Gilbert | 4-1 | 1-0 | 8% | 12% | 32% | 48% | 48% |
| Bondurant-Farrar | 0-5 | 0-1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | <1% |
| Des Moines North | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.
Other Class 4A teams
- ADM
- Bondurant-Farrar
- Boone
- Burlington
- Carlisle
- Cedar Rapids Washington
- Clear Creek Amana
- Clinton
- Council Bluffs Jefferson
- Davenport North
- Davenport West
- Decorah
- Denison-Schleswig
- Des Moines North
- Fort Dodge
- Gilbert
- Glenwood
- Grinnell
- Le Mars
- Lewis Central
- Marion
- Mason City
- Newton
- North Polk
- North Scott
- Oskaloosa
- Pella
- Sergeant Bluff-Luton
- Sioux City West
- Spencer
- Storm Lake
- Waterloo East
- Waverly-Shell Rock
- Western Dubuque
- Xavier