ADM Football Playoff Chances
Class 4A, District 6 · 4-1 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 27, 2026
Make playoffs93%
Projected record7-2
Win district6%
Host first game10%
Reach UNI-Dome4%
Win state<1%
ADM (4-1) is projected to finish 7-2 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in 93% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 2nd in District 6 (wins it 6%). Its most likely first playoff game: at #4 Lewis Central. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 4%; to win the Class 4A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for ADM →Remaining schedule and picks
| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Council Bluffs Jefferson | ADM | >99% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | vs Glenwood | ADM | 62% | Lean |
| Wk 8 | at Lewis Central | Lewis Central | 92% | Lock |
| Wk 9 | at Denison-Schleswig | ADM | >99% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
District 6 standings outlook
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Central | 3-2 | 1-0 | 94% | 6% | <1% | 0% | >99% |
| ADM | 4-1 | 1-0 | 6% | 60% | 34% | <1% | 93% |
| Glenwood | 3-2 | 0-1 | <1% | 35% | 62% | 3% | 97% |
| Boone | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 69% | <1% |
| Denison-Schleswig | 2-3 | 1-0 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 21% | <1% |
| Council Bluffs Jefferson | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 7% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.
Other Class 4A teams
- Ballard
- Bondurant-Farrar
- Boone
- Burlington
- Carlisle
- Cedar Rapids Washington
- Clear Creek Amana
- Clinton
- Council Bluffs Jefferson
- Davenport North
- Davenport West
- Decorah
- Denison-Schleswig
- Des Moines North
- Fort Dodge
- Gilbert
- Glenwood
- Grinnell
- Le Mars
- Lewis Central
- Marion
- Mason City
- Newton
- North Polk
- North Scott
- Oskaloosa
- Pella
- Sergeant Bluff-Luton
- Sioux City West
- Spencer
- Storm Lake
- Waterloo East
- Waverly-Shell Rock
- Western Dubuque
- Xavier