Class 4A, District 2 · 2-3 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 27, 2026
Decorah (2-3) is projected to finish 4-5 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in 42% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 3rd in District 2 (wins it 2%). Its most likely first playoff game: at #3 Western Dubuque. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 1%; to win the Class 4A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for Decorah →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at Cedar Rapids Washington | Decorah | 70% | Lean |
| Wk 7 | at Mason City | Decorah | >99% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | vs Xavier | Xavier | 91% | Lock |
| Wk 9 | at Waverly-Shell Rock | Waverly-Shell Rock | 84% | Strong |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier | 5-0 | 1-0 | 69% | 28% | 3% | <1% | >99% |
| Waverly-Shell Rock | 4-1 | 1-0 | 28% | 58% | 12% | 2% | >99% |
| Decorah | 2-3 | 1-0 | 2% | 12% | 60% | 26% | 42% |
| Cedar Rapids Washington | 2-3 | 0-1 | <1% | 2% | 26% | 67% | 4% |
| Mason City | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 1% | 0% |
| Waterloo East | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 3% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.