Class 4A, District 4 · 2-3 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Newton (2-3) is projected to finish 4-5 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in 23% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 3rd in District 4 (wins it 7%). Its most likely first playoff game: at #1 Xavier. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 4A state title: 0%.
Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for Newton →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Pella | Pella | 81% | Strong |
| Wk 7 | vs Clear Creek Amana | Clear Creek Amana | 70% | Lean |
| Wk 8 | at Grinnell | Newton | 54% | Toss-up |
| Wk 9 | at Marion | Newton | 95% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pella | 3-2 | 1-0 | 53% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 93% |
| Clear Creek Amana | 4-1 | 1-0 | 40% | 46% | 14% | <1% | 99% |
| Newton | 2-3 | 1-0 | 7% | 15% | 42% | 35% | 23% |
| Grinnell | 3-2 | 0-1 | <1% | 2% | 36% | 56% | 34% |
| Marion | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% |
| Oskaloosa | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | <1% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.