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Grinnell Football Playoff Chances

Class 4A, District 4 · 3-2 (0-1 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026

Make playoffs34%
Projected record5-4
Win district<1%
Host first game<1%
Reach UNI-Dome<1%
Win state0%

Grinnell (3-2) is projected to finish 5-4 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in 34% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 4th in District 4 (wins it <1%). Its most likely first playoff game: at #1 Xavier. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 4A state title: 0%.

Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for Grinnell →

Remaining schedule and picks

WeekOpponentOur pickChanceConfidence
Wk 6vs OskaloosaGrinnell>99%Lock
Wk 7at MarionGrinnell92%Lock
Wk 8vs NewtonNewton54%Toss-up
Wk 9at PellaPella93%Lock

Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.

District 4 standings outlook

TeamOverallDistrict1st2nd3rd4thPlayoffs
Pella3-21-053%37%9%2%93%
Clear Creek Amana4-11-040%46%14%<1%99%
Newton2-31-07%15%42%35%23%
Grinnell3-20-1<1%2%36%56%34%
Marion1-40-10%<1%<1%6%<1%
Oskaloosa0-50-10%0%0%<1%0%

Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.

Other Class 4A teams