Fort Dodge Football Playoff Chances
Class 4A, District 1 · 4-1 (0-1 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Make playoffs97%
Projected record8-1
Win district<1%
Host first game46%
Reach UNI-Dome9%
Win state<1%
Fort Dodge (4-1) is projected to finish 8-1 and makes the Class 4A playoffs in 97% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 2nd in District 1 (wins it <1%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against #10 ADM. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 9%; to win the Class 4A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 4A playoff machine for Fort Dodge →Remaining schedule and picks
| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Spencer | Fort Dodge | 84% | Strong |
| Wk 7 | vs Storm Lake | Fort Dodge | >99% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | at Le Mars | Fort Dodge | 78% | Strong |
| Wk 9 | vs Sioux City West | Fort Dodge | 98% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
District 1 standings outlook
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergeant Bluff-Luton | 5-0 | 1-0 | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Fort Dodge | 4-1 | 0-1 | <1% | 75% | 19% | 5% | 97% |
| Spencer | 3-2 | 1-0 | 1% | 17% | 64% | 13% | 85% |
| Le Mars | 2-3 | 0-1 | <1% | 5% | 14% | 67% | 15% |
| Sioux City West | 4-1 | 1-0 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 1% |
| Storm Lake | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.
Other Class 4A teams
- ADM
- Ballard
- Bondurant-Farrar
- Boone
- Burlington
- Carlisle
- Cedar Rapids Washington
- Clear Creek Amana
- Clinton
- Council Bluffs Jefferson
- Davenport North
- Davenport West
- Decorah
- Denison-Schleswig
- Des Moines North
- Gilbert
- Glenwood
- Grinnell
- Le Mars
- Lewis Central
- Marion
- Mason City
- Newton
- North Polk
- North Scott
- Oskaloosa
- Pella
- Sergeant Bluff-Luton
- Sioux City West
- Spencer
- Storm Lake
- Waterloo East
- Waverly-Shell Rock
- Western Dubuque
- Xavier