8-Player, District 5 · 4-2 (3-0 district) · Updated Sep 27, 2026
WACO (4-2) is projected to finish 5-4 and makes the 8-Player playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 3rd in District 5 (wins it 4%). Its most likely first playoff game: at D7 1st Montezuma. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the 8-Player state title: <1%.
Open the interactive 8-Player playoff machine for WACO →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | at English Valleys | English Valleys | 71% | Lean |
| Wk 7 | at Springville | WACO | 66% | Lean |
| Wk 8 | vs Iowa Valley | Iowa Valley | 91% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa Valley | 6-0 | 3-0 | 86% | 12% | 2% | >99% |
| English Valleys | 4-0 | 3-0 | 10% | 61% | 29% | >99% |
| WACO | 4-2 | 3-0 | 4% | 27% | 70% | >99% |
| Belle Plaine | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| HLV | 3-3 | 0-3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Winfield-Mt Union | 3-3 | 0-3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.