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Montezuma Football Playoff Chances

8-Player, District 7 · 4-1 (3-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026

Make playoffs>99%
Projected record7-1
Win district>99%
Host first game>99%
Reach UNI-Dome4%
Win state<1%

Montezuma (4-1) is projected to finish 7-1 and makes the 8-Player playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 1st in District 7 (wins it >99%). Its most likely first playoff game: home against D9 3rd CAM. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 4%; to win the 8-Player state title: <1%.

Open the interactive 8-Player playoff machine for Montezuma →

Remaining schedule and picks

WeekOpponentOur pickChanceConfidence
Wk 6at Melcher-DallasMontezuma>99%Lock
Wk 7at Twin CedarsMontezuma>99%Lock
Wk 8vs BaxterMontezuma98%Lock

Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.

District 7 standings outlook

TeamOverallDistrict1st2nd3rdPlayoffs
Montezuma4-13-0>99%<1%0%>99%
Southeast Warren3-23-1<1%77%20%>99%
Moravia3-22-1<1%20%58%88%
Wayne1-41-20%3%18%59%
Baxter3-32-20%<1%2%4%
Twin Cedars1-41-20%0%<1%<1%
Melcher-Dallas0-50-40%0%0%0%

Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.

Other 8-Player teams