Class 1A, District 5 · 2-3 (1-1 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
MFL MarMac (2-3) is projected to finish 3-5 and makes the Class 1A playoffs in >99% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 4th in District 5 (wins it <1%). Its most likely first playoff game: at D6 1st Regina Catholic. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: <1%; to win the Class 1A state title: 0%.
Open the interactive Class 1A playoff machine for MFL MarMac →| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Camanche | MFL MarMac | 97% | Lock |
| Wk 7 | at Cascade | Cascade | 70% | Lean |
| Wk 8 | vs Northeast | Northeast | 76% | Strong |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckman Catholic | 5-0 | 2-0 | 69% | 29% | 2% | <1% | >99% |
| Northeast | 5-0 | 2-0 | 29% | 54% | 13% | 4% | >99% |
| Cascade | 3-2 | 1-1 | 2% | 11% | 58% | 30% | >99% |
| MFL MarMac | 2-3 | 1-1 | <1% | 7% | 27% | 65% | >99% |
| Camanche | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lisbon | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.