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Iowa Class A Playoff Machine

Starting…

Who makes the Class A playoffs, where they're seeded and who they'd play. Pick your team, then tap any game in the game list to change its winner and watch everything update.

Settings
  • Focus team: the team the Team and Pods pages are about. Anyone can pick their own. To link straight to a team, add # and its name to the page link, e.g. #johnston or #dallas-center-grimes.
  • Reset / Favorites: "Reset every game to the odds" clears your picks. "Favorites win every game" gives one exact season with no upsets. Your own picks in the game list always override the odds.
  • Non-5A games: games between two teams outside 5A, like 4A vs 4A. They never decide who's in directly, but they shift RPI. If Le Mars (4A) loses more games, every 5A team that played Le Mars gets a slightly lower opponents' win %. "Play out at the model's odds" lets them go either way (more realistic). "Favorites always win" locks them, which is needed for one exact RPI table.
  • Runs: how many seasons to simulate. More runs means steadier numbers, but slower. With 15 or fewer uncertain games the page skips simulation and runs every combination exactly.
  • Save scenario: keeps your picks in this browser only; other people don't see them.

Remaining 5A games

Class A playoff projections at a glance

Updated Sep 26, 2026. Title favorites: Woodbury Central (55%), West Sioux (30%), Saint Ansgar (6%), North Linn (2%), Wapsie Valley (1%). On the bubble: Highland (83%), IKM-Manning (80%), Van Buren County (70%), Clayton Ridge (61%), Southwest Valley (61%), Earlham (58%), Akron-Westfield (57%), Sioux Central (51%).

TeamRecordDistrictWin districtMake playoffsReach DomeWin state
ACGC4-1D723%>99%2%<1%
Lynnville-Sully4-1D639%>99%14%<1%
East Buchanan4-1D434%>99%14%<1%
West Fork5-0D274%>99%7%<1%
Riverside5-1D777%>99%16%<1%
Madrid5-0D658%>99%24%1%
Pekin6-0D586%>99%7%<1%
Gehlen Catholic4-1D14%>99%7%<1%
St. Albert5-0D87%>99%12%<1%
Wapsie Valley4-1D422%>99%26%1%
West Sioux5-0D195%>99%77%30%
Saint Ansgar5-0D3>99%>99%52%6%
Danville4-1D514%>99%<1%0%
Woodbury Central5-0D893%>99%83%55%
West Hancock4-1D210%>99%2%<1%
Martensdale-St Marys4-1D62%>99%1%<1%
Belmond-Klemme3-2D23%>99%<1%0%
Starmont3-2D3<1%>99%<1%0%
Newman Catholic3-2D213%>99%4%<1%
MMCRU3-2D11%>99%1%<1%
North Linn4-1D426%>99%29%2%
Maquoketa Valley3-2D418%99%16%<1%
Nashua-Plainfield4-1D3<1%99%<1%0%
Mount Ayr1-4D70%93%<1%<1%
Highland1-4D50%83%0%0%
IKM-Manning1-4D80%80%<1%0%
Van Buren County3-3D50%70%0%0%
Clayton Ridge3-2D3<1%61%<1%0%
Southwest Valley3-2D70%61%<1%0%
Earlham2-3D60%58%<1%<1%
Akron-Westfield3-2D8<1%57%<1%0%
Sioux Central1-4D10%51%<1%0%
AHSTW3-3D70%46%<1%<1%
West Monona2-3D80%43%<1%0%
BGM3-3D60%41%<1%0%
North Butler2-3D30%40%0%0%
Columbus0-5D50%32%0%0%
Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn2-3D10%29%<1%0%
Sibley-Ocheyedan1-4D10%20%<1%0%
Logan-Magnolia3-2D80%20%<1%0%
Wapello0-4D50%15%0%0%
Midland3-2D40%2%0%0%
North Mahaska0-5D60%<1%0%0%
Westwood1-4D80%<1%0%0%
South Winneshiek1-4D30%<1%0%0%
AGWSR0-5D20%<1%0%0%
Nodaway Valley0-5D70%<1%0%0%
BCLUW1-4D20%<1%0%0%
Colfax-Mingo3-2D60%<1%0%0%
East Marshall1-4D40%0%0%0%
Lake Mills0-5D20%0%0%0%
North Cedar1-4D40%0%0%0%
Postville0-5D30%0%0%0%
South O'Brien0-5D10%0%0%0%