Nevada Football Playoff Chances
Class 3A, District 5 · 2-3 (1-0 district) · Updated Sep 26, 2026
Make playoffs69%
Projected record5-4
Win district6%
Host first game6%
Reach UNI-Dome1%
Win state<1%
Nevada (2-3) is projected to finish 5-4 and makes the Class 3A playoffs in 69% of 20,000 simulated seasons, most likely finishing 2nd in District 5 (wins it 6%). Its most likely first playoff game: at #2 Des Moines Christian. Chance to reach the UNI-Dome semifinals: 1%; to win the Class 3A state title: <1%.
Open the interactive Class 3A playoff machine for Nevada →Remaining schedule and picks
| Week | Opponent | Our pick | Chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs Williamsburg | Nevada | 66% | Lean |
| Wk 7 | at Saydel | Nevada | 100% | Lock |
| Wk 8 | vs Des Moines Christian | Des Moines Christian | 91% | Lock |
| Wk 9 | vs Knoxville | Nevada | >99% | Lock |
Lock picks (90%+) were right 97% of the time on Iowa games from 2021 to 2025.
District 5 standings outlook
| Team | Overall | District | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Des Moines Christian | 5-0 | 1-0 | 94% | 6% | 0% | 0% | >99% |
| Nevada | 2-3 | 1-0 | 6% | 62% | 32% | <1% | 69% |
| Williamsburg | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0% | 32% | 66% | 2% | 90% |
| Winterset | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 76% | 0% |
| Knoxville | 1-4 | 1-0 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 22% | 0% |
| Saydel | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Chance of each district finish. Ties go by head-to-head, then the 17-point tiebreaker.
Other Class 3A teams
- Algona
- Assumption
- Atlantic
- Benton
- Bishop Heelan
- Carroll
- Center Point-Urbana
- Central DeWitt
- Charles City
- Clear Lake
- Creston
- Des Moines Christian
- Fairfield
- Fort Madison
- Greene County
- Harlan Community
- Humboldt
- Independence
- Iowa Falls-Alden
- Keokuk
- Knoxville
- MOC-Floyd Valley
- Maquoketa
- Mount Pleasant
- Mount Vernon
- Perry
- Saydel
- Sioux Center
- Solon
- Wahlert Catholic
- Washington
- Webster City
- West Delaware
- Williamsburg
- Winterset